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Who Will Win: Trump or Harris? How Will It Affect the Markets?
One of the significant factors affecting the cryptocurrency market is the regulatory policies of the U.S. government. The approach of the winning candidate and their party towards cryptocurrencies can be decisive for the future of the sector. A government that pursues crypto-friendly policies can instill confidence in the market and encourage investments, while a more regulation-heavy approach could concern investors and create pressure on the market.

Economic policies also indirectly have a significant impact on cryptocurrencies. Particularly, the U.S. president’s stance on inflation and interest rates can influence cryptocurrency prices. In an inflationary environment with low interest rates, investors often turn to alternative assets to prevent value loss, which can increase demand for cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. On the other hand, raising interest rates and adopting a stricter monetary policy could put selling pressure on risky assets and lead to a decline in the value of cryptocurrencies.

Another important aspect of the elections is how they influence the U.S.’s international relations and geopolitical stance. This can shape the position of cryptocurrencies in the global market. For instance, the course of U.S.-China relations can directly affect crypto mining and blockchain technologies. Moreover, international trade and technology policies can either support or restrict the growth of the cryptocurrency ecosystem.

Donald Trump’s Cryptocurrency Policies: Donald Trump has previously expressed a critical stance towards cryptocurrencies but has recently shifted this approach. Three years ago, he criticized cryptocurrencies as ‘fraudulent’ but has now pledged that the U.S. will become the ‘crypto capital of the world’ and the ‘Bitcoin superpower.’ Additionally, he has mentioned plans to remove SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and establish an advisory council to support the growth of the crypto industry.

Kamala Harris’ Cryptocurrency Policies: Kamala Harris takes a more cautious approach towards cryptocurrencies. While emphasizing the importance she places on technology and innovation, she has not outlined a clear policy regarding cryptocurrencies. It is believed that Harris might support stricter regulations aimed at protecting consumers and ensuring financial stability.

-There is an expectation that, if Trump is elected, the cryptocurrency markets could experience a positive atmosphere. Trump presents a stance that could support the crypto ecosystem with his crypto-friendly policies and his promise to ease current regulations. Therefore, there is a market expectation that “if Trump is elected president, the value of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies could increase.” Additionally, Elon Musk’s support for Trump could boost confidence in the cryptocurrency markets and lead to a rise in the value of cryptocurrencies supported by Musk, such as Dogecoin. As a result, the market may want to price in Trump’s potential presidency positively.
-If Kamala Harris is elected president, the future of the cryptocurrency markets may follow a more cautious path. Although Harris does not yet have a clear policy stance on cryptocurrencies, it is generally believed that the Democratic Party may support stricter regulatory policies towards cryptocurrencies. This could lead to some concerns and uncertainty in the market. With priorities such as consumer protection and ensuring financial stability, a more interventionist approach to the crypto market could be adopted. Such a policy might put pressure on assets that are more sensitive to regulations, particularly centralized exchanges and stablecoins.
“The investment information and comments included in this report do not constitute investment advice.”
Araştırma Uzmanı at EgeMoney

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